Highlights
- •Identifying how treatments work is important in making them more effective in the future.
- •Changes in psychological distress and pain intensity are mediators of treatment effect.
- •This study adds to the evidence base for the role of mediators in pain research.
Abstract
Perspective
Key words
- Hill J.C.
- Whitehurst D.G.
- Lewis M.
- Bryan S.
- Dunn K.M.
- Foster N.E.
- Konstantinou K.
- Main C.J.
- Mason E.
- Somerville S.
- Sowden G.
- Vohora K.
- Hay E.M.
Methods
STarT Back Trial
- Hill J.C.
- Whitehurst D.G.
- Lewis M.
- Bryan S.
- Dunn K.M.
- Foster N.E.
- Konstantinou K.
- Main C.J.
- Mason E.
- Somerville S.
- Sowden G.
- Vohora K.
- Hay E.M.
- Hill J.C.
- Whitehurst D.G.
- Lewis M.
- Bryan S.
- Dunn K.M.
- Foster N.E.
- Konstantinou K.
- Main C.J.
- Mason E.
- Somerville S.
- Sowden G.
- Vohora K.
- Hay E.M.
Measures
LBP-Specific Disability
- Smeets R.
- Köke A.
- Lin C.W.
- Ferreira M.
- Demoulin C.
Pain-Related Distress
Pain Intensity
- Hill J.C.
- Whitehurst D.G.
- Lewis M.
- Bryan S.
- Dunn K.M.
- Foster N.E.
- Konstantinou K.
- Main C.J.
- Mason E.
- Somerville S.
- Sowden G.
- Vohora K.
- Hay E.M.
Mediation Analysis Using Structural Equation Modeling
Statistical Analysis
Creation of Residualized Change Scores
Testing Criteria for Potential Mediation

Creation of Latent Variables
Mediation Analysis
Results
Testing Criteria for Potential Mediation
Baseline Score, Mean (SD) | Four-Month Follow-Up, Mean Change (SD) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
High-Risk Treatment Group (n = 93) | High-Risk Control Group (n = 45) | High-Risk Treatment Group (n = 93) | High-Risk Control Group (n = 45) | |
Outcome | ||||
Disability | 14.41 (4.31) | 14.07 (4.88) | 7.49 (6.48) | 3.62 (4.38) |
Potential mediators | ||||
Catastrophizing thoughts | 25.24 (1.49) | 25.88 (1.54) | 11.07 (12.95) | 6.64 (1.26) |
Fear-avoidance beliefs | 46.21 (5.17) | 45.52 (5.85) | 9.24 (7.56) | 3.40 (4.68) |
Anxiety | 1.01 (4.39) | 1.31 (3.59) | 3.39 (4.10) | 2.49 (3.95) |
Depression | 8.77 (4.34) | 8.40 (3.70) | 3.55 (4.05) | 1.69 (3.55) |
Pain intensity | ||||
Least | 6.16 (2.58) | 5.96 (3.25) | 2.98 (2.87) | 1.76 (3.19) |
Average | 7.72 (2.12) | 8.18 (1.80) | 3.90 (3.24) | 2.56 (2.62) |
Current | 6.40 (2.33) | 6.51 (2.64) | 3.00 (2.88) | 1.62 (3.00) |
Outcome | Predictor | Treatment Allocation | Change at 4-Month Follow-Up | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unstandardized B (Standard Error) | 95% CI | Standardized β | R2 Change | |||
RMDQΔ | Catastrophizing thoughtsΔ | Treatment (n = 93) | .49 (.09) | .31–.67 | .50 | .25 |
Fear-avoidance beliefsΔ | .57 (.09) | .40–.74 | .57 | .33 | ||
AnxietyΔ | .59 (.09) | .40–.77 | .56 | .31 | ||
DepressionΔ | .66 (.09) | .48–.83 | .62 | .39 | ||
Least painΔ | .77 (.08) | .62–.93 | .72 | .51 | ||
Average painΔ | .77 (.07) | .63–.91 | .74 | .55 | ||
Current painΔ | .84 (.07) | .71–.98 | .80 | .63 | ||
Catastrophizing thoughtsΔ | Control (n = 45) | .58 (.11) | .37–.80 | .64 | .41 | |
Fear-avoidance beliefsΔ | .73 (.12) | .05–.97 | .67 | .45 | ||
AnxietyΔ | .46 (.10) | .27–.65 | .59 | .35 | ||
DepressionΔ | .58 (.09) | .40–.75 | .71 | .50 | ||
Least painΔ | .45 (.10) | .26–.65 | .59 | .34 | ||
Average painΔ | .50 (.11) | .28–.72 | .57 | .32 | ||
Current painΔ | .47 (.10) | .27–.68 | .58 | .34 |
Outcome | Predictor | Unstandardized B (Standard Error) | 95% CI | Standardized β | R2 Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Catastrophizing thoughtsΔ | Treatment allocation | .41 (.18) | .06–.76 | .19 | .04 |
Fear-avoidance beliefsΔ | Treatment allocation | .72 (.17) | .39–1.06 | .34 | .12 |
AnxietyΔ | Treatment allocation | .28 (.18) | −.08 to .63 | .13 | .02 |
DepressionΔ | Treatment allocation | .47 (.18) | .12–.82 | .22 | .05 |
Least painΔ | Treatment allocation | .44 (.18) | .08–.79 | .21 | .04 |
Average painΔ | Treatment allocation | .58 (.18) | .23–.92 | .27 | .07 |
Current painΔ | Treatment allocation | .52 (.18) | .17–.87 | .25 | .06 |
Mediation Analysis
Effect | Model | |
---|---|---|
Standardized Estimates (95% CI) | Unstandardized Estimates (95% CI) | |
RMDQΔ | ||
Total (ć) | .30 (.14–.43) | .63 (.29–.94) |
Direct (c) | .05 (−.05 to .16) | .11 (−.11 to .33) |
Indirect (ab) | .25 (.09–.39) | .52 (.19–.85) |
Discussion
Comparison With Conceptual Model
Comparison With Previous Findings
Potential Limitations
Clinical Implications
Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Supplementary Data
- Supplementary Appendix 1
- Supplementary Section 1
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Article info
Publication history
Footnotes
This paper presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) under its Programme Grants for Applied Research Programme (Grant Reference No RP-PG-0707-10131). Jonathan Hill is supported through a NIHR Research Professorship (NIHR-RP-011-015) which is held by Nadine Foster. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Health Service, the NIHR or the Department of Health. Gemma Mansell and Daniëlle van der Windt are supported by Arthritis Research UK Centre for Primary Care (Grant No 20202).
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Supplementary data accompanying this article are available online at www.jpain.org and www.sciencedirect.com.
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